The following example will illustrate important poker strategy point. You pick up K-Q under the sun and call the bindl. You play a three handed pot vs. the small and gib blinds And the small blnd calls. You are given a gutshot ten draw for a straght as the flop comes A-J -6 of three different suits.

The first poker player bets the pot size, the second poker player folds, and it is up to you. Should you call if there is $30 in the pot and the bet is Also $30? There are 47 unknown cards out of which 4 give you a winner and 43 are quite likely to leave you in second place.

The odds Are about 11-1 against you. In this type of situation, a call seems reasonable and it is not that rare at big-bet poker. To understand the reason for this, let us look at the deal through rival poker player’s eyes. The rival poker player has probably got an ace with a weak kicker for his bet. He may have raised pre-fop with a good kicker.

The rival poker player could have flopped two pair. However, it is more likely that he has only one pair. He will think that you probably have an ace with a decent-size kicker if you call after his bet. The rival poker player is most likely to check on fourth street poker and if he has only one pair, release his hand if you bet.

If the rival poker player checks to you on fourth street, your poker game plan is to call on the flop and take the pot away from him. Even though, the odds on actually making the hand are hugely unfavorable, it is A sound plan against many poker players.

It is more difficult to calculate the odds with two cards to come rather than when there is only one card to come. For e.g. there are ordinarily 47 unknown cards After the flop in a hold’em pokker game. There will be 46 unknown cards which come on the end after the fourth street is dealt.

Therefore, the total number of card combinations for the last two cards is 47 times 46 which is 2,162. Counting up all the card combinations which make the hand and comparing it with that total 2,162 is the only accurate way to calculate the odds on something such as making a flush.

We find the true **pot ods** on making the flush in the following way. We make it on fourth street with 9 cards. We multiply 9 times 46 to give us the number 414. On fourth street, there are 38 cards which do not complete the flush. We multiply 38 times 9 to get the number of combinations which make the hand on fifth street which gives us 342 which is the number of all card combinations which make the hand on fifth street.

We multiplied 38 times 9 rather than 47 times 9 because it not only helps us to make the hand on fifth street when we have not yet made the fulsh. For making the hand on fourth street and fifth street, there is no bonus. We add 414 and 342 to get the total number of card combinations which make our flush which comes out to be 756. Thus, the odds on making our flush are 756 out of 2,162.

This method of calculating the odds is quite cumbersome. No big-bet poker player does it at the table. All good hold’em poker players know that they are slightly less than a 2-1 underdog to hit a flush with two cards to come. Sometimes, we use shourtcuts to give us A ballpark figure which is close enough to the true odds for most poker purposes.

For e.g. If at hold’em poker, i have pocket aces And my rival poker plyar has A set, here is a way to get A rough idea of my chances of helping with two cards to come. There are 45 unknown cards which could come on fourth street. Of these 45 cards, only 2 help me, and 43 do not.

Therefore, the odds on making the hand on fourth street are 43-2 or 21.5-1. As there is yet another card to come, we can take half of 21.5 which is 10.75. The rough odds Are 10.75 to 1 against me making three aces.

The true figure is calculated in the following way. The number of ways to make the hand on either card is (2 times 44) plus (43 times 2) which is 174. The total number of possible card combinations is 45 times 44 which is 1980. The odds on my making the hand are 1806 to 174 which comes out to be 10.38-1.

You must have noticed that we got A reasonable ballpark figure for figuring the odds on making the hand with two cards to come. As we were figuring the price on a longshot, the above method worked quite well. When the **poker draw** is not longshot, this method is inaccurate.

For e.g. we all know that if there are two cards to come, a draw which is even money with one card to come will not be a cinch. The correct way to think about an even money draw is About half the time you hit it on the end, you would have already made it on fourth street.

Therefore, the chance rise to about 75 percent with two cards to come from 50 percent with one card to come. At big-bet poker, the mathematical aspect is quite complex. You must know how to figure out odds in more common type of drawing situations.

Also knowing the “bluffing rights” and having a feel for the implie odds of a situation is equally important. You can give yourself the best chance for a successful decision if you take into account all these factors.